Thursday, April 15, 2010

BESIDES WHY SHOULD IRAN BE THE POWER IN THE REGION

The recent nuclear summit hailed by Obama as a monumental success has highlighted minor gains while completely ignoring the severity of the Iranian nuclear impasse.

Some conspiracy theorist have already hypothesized that this was the purpose behind the summit. They also contend that Netanyahu's real reason for not participating was to create noise as a reminder of the real issue at hand. Just as the real dispute between the White house and the Knesset is about Iran, not Israelis living in the old city of Jerusalem.

Regardless, the bottom line remains that Iran is on the cusp of nuclear armament and the international community refuses to confront the realities on the ground.

There are two views currently making their way through the halls of capitals across the globe.

1. Israel can be relied upon to take the Iranian threat out -and the diplomatic/military fall that will inevitably come along with it.

2. Israel's leadership does not have the political will nor the tools to attempt a strike. The world should prepare for the reality of a nuclear armed Iran, in part by convening high-profile summits affirming the international communities’ commitment to non-proliferation.

Unfortunately the second view, which under the Obama administration has taken hold, underestimates Israel's commitment to its security and Iran's commitment to arm itself.

1. Iran's nuclear aspirations date back to 1979 as part of the Islamic revolution in Iran.
2. Iran understands that as long as it doesn't have nuclear weapons it can not dominate the region.
3. Iran has shown that it is willing to kill its own people. Though I must add that one of my Turkish friends asserts that the protests since the disputed elections reflect a small minority of Iran, I respectfully disagree. Besides the bottom line is that Iran’s leader killed its own citizens.
So there is clear evidence that Iran puts its Mullahs/elites aspirations above the people. What does that mean for the MAD theories that support the notion that Iran would never use its nuclear arsenal?

1. Israel, despite having nuclear weapons has never spurred a regional nuclear arms race, why, because EVERYONE knows that it is a deterrent.
2. That deterrent does not counter an autocratic state like Iran that has as its platform the destruction of Israel.
3. Israel must remove that threat.
4. Israel attacks, then Lebanon, Gaza, and even Syria may get drawn in to a war.
And who knows who else?
5. The likely outcome is Israel’s victory, at a heavy and unwanted cost. Also energy prices, attacks on Americans and other random non-Iranians WILL occur.

Yet the International community had 6 years to stop Iran. Instead they concluded that either of the two views were inevitable and refused to take the threat seriously. Sanctions over a period of time could have worked. But for economic, and who knows what other reasons, Russia and China refused to serve the cause of humanity.

Some may contend that it is purely Israel’s problem. BIG MISTAKE, I have said it before and I will say it again Israel/Jews are the first targets of tyranny but never the last!

As a Jew and a person of conscious I can not stomach the notion that the Hitler of our day will get his hands on nukes, or the idea that there is EVEN A CHANCE THAT millions of my fellow Jews, Americans, Muslims, and people are killed (as was the case in world war II) we shoud not have to declare retroactively "never again".

I say Israel should take out Irans military NOW, before Israel gets drawn into a nuclear war. Israel cannot and should not rely on an international community that has never been up to the task of standing up to Hitler tyranny.

Besides WHY SHOULD IRAN BE THE POWER IN THE REGION

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